INTERCEPTS Sat 18/05/2013

$US2B Indon coal dispute escalates

Mark Mentiplay, 16th Jul 2012
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JULY 16 – Churchill Mining’s $US2B lawsuit against the Indonesian Government over the revocation of the UK-listed Australian company’s potentially multi-billion dollar thermal coal mining permits is a big deal for Indonesia and getting bigger.

There’s a lot at stake, not just for Churchill but for President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono personally, his party and the Indonesian economy as foreign investors look increasingly askance at doing business there. It is a complex case that, mining analysts say, shows the weakness of the country’s regional/state mining policies and now simmers under the heat of vested interests at a time when the country is changing its mining equity laws and looks to play a more prominent role on the global stage.

The importance of Churchill’s ongoing legal stoush with the East Kutai regency authority in East Kalimantan is reflected in the outcomes from a recent presidentially instigated meeting of several Indonesian ministries to deal with Churchill’s escalated action, sparked by the Indonesian Supreme Court’s rejection of a request to overturn the East Kutai Regency’s decision.

What has emerged is a serious team of senior officials from the Energy and Mineral Resources Ministry, the Forestry Ministry, the ATG’s office, the Finance Ministry, the East Kutai administration and the Investment Co-ordinating Board that is now preparing the govt’s response.

Claiming the East Kalimantan provincial govt has seized its assets without proper right or compensation, Churchill has filed a lawsuit against the Indonesian President, East Kutai Regent Isran Noor, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Ministry of Energy and the Investment Co-ordinating Board. It has had its application for arbitration at the International Center for Settlement of Investment Disputes in Washington accepted.

President Yudhoyono, first defendant in the case, says his government is ready to face the lawsuit in international arbitration.

Vice director of mining and energy economics research company, ReforMiner Institute Komaidi Notonegoro, says the weakness of Indonesia’s mining policy is primarily down to poorly managed regional administrations that gives rise to disputes, such as overlapping concession areas and unregistered mining activities.

The problem is made worse by the fact that Indonesia does not yet have a clear path on how to develop its minerals and coal mining sector, with the govt as yet unable to create a map for mining areas across the country, as mandated by the 2009 Mining and Coal Law.

“Judging from past experience, several regional administrations cannot be trusted. The right to issue mining permits has to be given back to the central government,” Komaidi says.

The East Kutai Coal Project is a world-class thermal coal deposit, with a JORC mining reserve of 961Mt and a mining resource of 2.73Bt, on which a 2010 feasibility study envisages an initial 25-year operation, with a pre-tax net present value of $1.8B, an internal rate of return of 21% and a 7-year payback.

Pre-tax net cashflow is estimated in excess of $500M pa over the first 20 years production from a 30Mtpa open-pit producing high-quality sub-bituminous coal. Direct capital expenditure is estimated at $1.2B, before indirects, with operating costs of $25.10t FOB, excluding a royalty of $2.32t.

 

HighGrade

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