CONSULTING Thu 24/05/2012

Consultants see room to grow in 2012

Richard Roberts, 15 December 2011
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QUALITY control remains a major concern for many of the 17 international mining and engineering consulting industry leaders HighGrade quizzed about 2012 as they cast around in a muddy talent pool for new recruits while weighing up how best to maintain the integrity of their brand and expand in a fiercely competitive global market.

How many are seriously examining the attractions of merging with a long-time rival is, of course, unclear. But all the consulting sector leaders are in new territory – even the ones who’ve been running their company for years, decades in some cases, and who would have been saying a few years ago they’d just about seen it all.

Now they’re presiding over the biggest staff complements in the history of their firms and still the pressure/opportunity is there to grow. Equally great is the pressure to retain staff.

While there is some merit to consulting recruitment lines about “lifestyle” choices for career consultants, there is immense competition from other mining services firms for skilled and experienced people (and from big non-mining financial, IT and other organisations looking to increase their exposure to mining), and the big miners continue to offer higher salaries and more flexibility.

So a consistent pressure on consulting firms to continue expanding organically or through M&A is that being applied by other, aggressively growing mining services groups, and/or their clients.

“Retention [of staff] is always important as our people are our differentiators,” said SRK Consulting CEO Andy Barrett. SRK, the world’s biggest mining consulting firm, went from 800 consultants at the start of 2011, to some 1100 currently, while total staff numbers grew from 1026 to about 1400.

“Further consolidation of [consulting] businesses … and the challenge of keeping staff now being targeted by major mining companies,” were two of the key sector trends heading into 2012, according to AMC Consultants chairman Peter McCarthy.

Coffey International group executive mining, Robert Sherwen-Slater, was another who saw “difficulty attracting and retaining staff [and a] potential increase in M&A activity between consulting groups”, as features of a period of “increased demand for services” next year.

The “challenge to meet the increasing volume of work while maintaining [the] high quality of both service and deliverables”, was top of mind for Snowden Mining Industry Consultants CEO Craig Morley.

And Mark Noppe, managing director of Xstract Mining Consultants, was similarly concerned about the availability of people and resources – the “capacity to deliver projects in good time while ensuring the quality of that delivery”. Another challenge in 2012 would be “managing the pressure on consulting salaries and the resultant costs to clients”.

Meanwhile, Noppe sounded the keynote for the sector in terms of the outlook for business next year when he said his optimism was “tempered with realism”. After expanding consultant numbers by more than 50% during 2011 and increasing revenue by 80% year-on-year (to June 30), the Brisbane-based firm was targeting growth of 30% in 2012, “with mining engineering, resource geology and processing engineering” potentially the main avenues.

On the other side of Australia, in Perth, Optiro managing director Mark Warren said: “We see 2012 being a more challenging year for all of us. Capital and capital raising is clearly an issue and will become more so next year. We note the relative ease in which our major clients can raise capital and debt versus the difficulty faced by some of the juniors is having an impact on industry. Accordingly, we believe the use of capital, operational efficiency and cash flow will become more of a focus in the new year. We expect assignments designed to improve operational efficiency will therefore increase.”

After a strong consulting year in 2011, Runge CEO Dave Meldrum told HighGrade: “We’re wary.

“We’ve got a solid pipeline in most of our offices at the moment and we’re still running reasonably high utilisations. We are seeing some volatility; we are seeing some behaviour from some of our clients that would suggest there is a bit of nervousness out there.”

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Mining/resource assets that were previously being priced and prepared for presentation to capital markets were now increasingly involved in M&A-type transactions. Meldrum said work in South America and the US was keeping Runge’s Denver consulting team busy, while Australia was “not quite as busy, but we go into next year with a good, solid book of work”.

“The Asian market has been a lot more volatile but having said that our work in Beijing, which was really focused on compliance documentation for listings in Hong Kong has changed to doing more due diligence work for acquisitions,” he said.

“Where projects were priced quite high previously and … there weren’t a lot of transactions in play because of the price of the assets and people were taking them to market and raising capital on public markets, now we’re seeing some of these [groups] finding it a little bit harder to get cash and [they are] taking decisions to go into M&A type transactions rather than go to the capital markets.”

SRK’s Barrett said while there was “much uncertainty at present” this generally hadn’t yet affected the company’s backlog of work.

“[It] could in the future – there is probably a lag effect,” he said. “At this point in time, we remain cautiously optimistic. In an optimistic scenario, recruitment will remain the key challenge.”

Snowden’s Morley remained “very optimistic” about 2012, with much of that built on growth forecasts for emerging markets, and for Snowden, growth in new core business areas.

“We’ve moved our United Kingdom office to Oxford, and refocused that office to support the financial markets in London, and the emergent CIS region,” he said. “We’ve also opened an office in Calgary in support of our oil sands and coal focus as part of our team in the Americas.

“We’re looking at opening new offices in the emerging regions to support a growing demand from our clients in those regions. China, Russia and Latin America will be our first priority.

“We are experiencing a growth phase and are attracting some high quality candidates.”

The company expects to add 20 consultants during the first quarter in 2012.

“Experienced technical resources remain in short supply, particularly in the areas of mining and geotechnical engineering,” Morley said. “We have found that our culture and work environment have been a significant influence in attracting some very good candidates during the last couple of months.”

Kane Dowsett, communications manager at major environmental and mine technical consulting group GHD, said skill shortages looked likely to affect the delivery of major projects over the next five to 10 years.

“We are resource-light [and] there are tight project funding conditions,” he said.

“To succeed there will need to be more collaboration in industry.”

Kristy Sell, director environmental science at MBS Environmental, said the company’s recent experience with the GFC was that environmental work continued, “timeframes just became more realistic and achievable”.

“Operational aspects of projects are still required even if new project related work reduces,” she said.

Sell said concerns about the experience levels of consulting staff and the ability of some firms to provide practical and effective services remained.

“We are seeing an increasing level of new clients due to customer dissatisfaction, or failure to deliver services,” she said.

But the high Australian dollar had also pushed consultant rates higher and there had been “some importation of North American based expertise and loss of jobs for Australian consultancies for larger clients with experience and contacts outside of local networks”.

Gerald Whittle, managing director of Whittle Consulting, extended the operational efficiency theme to capital when he said for many small and large resource owners the focus in 2012 would be an “economic rather than technical” one.

“It will be a competitive capital market on 2012 for projects and expansions,” he said.

Snapshot: consulting sector leaders

Company            Consultants          Total staff                  FY11 revenue growth
                         (2011 start/finish)     (2011 start/finish)  (yoy)
Mining One           70/100               80/110                20%
Snowden             135/170              160/191               21%
Coffey Mining      222/245              240/270               18%
CSA Global          Not Supplied        100/150               72%
Whittle Consulting   8/9                    10/12                145%
Optiro                 Not Supplied       Not Supplied            40%
Runge                 220/250             370/420                 19%
SRK                    800/1100           1026/1400             Not Supplied
AMC Consultants   126/148             166/196                 29%
Golder Associates  5581/-                7973/-                 Not Supplied
MBS Environmental  21/23                24/26                    7%
GHD                    3745/4345         5572/+6000             0.5%
Mining Plus           31/45                  34/50                  50% past 3yrs
Xstract Mining        24/38                 29/44                   80%
SKM Mining/Metals -/700-800         1568/1870             Not Supplied
Enthalpy                -/130                -/140                     20%
                               

HighGrade

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